The decision by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to raise the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) may prove unhelpful, say financial experts.
The experts told the media on Tuesday that they expected the committee to retain a hold on rates, due to the recent cash crisis caused by the redesigning of the new banknotes.
A professor of Capital Market, Nasarawa State University, Keffi, Uche Uwaleke, said that he expected the MPC to maintain a hold position on rates which shows a pause to policy tightening.
He said, “this is necessary to stimulate economic growth already hampered by the recent cash crunch.
“Headline inflation rate may have risen marginally in February when viewed year-on-year.
“But, it actually dropped by 0.16 percent month-on-month and so by implication, the inflation rate dropped between January and February this year.
“Against this backdrop, retaining policy rates stand to reason.’’
Also, Akpan Ekpo, a professor of Economics and Public Policy at the University of Uyo, Akwa Ibom, said he wished the MPC had postponed the meeting because of the prevailing environment.
He said, “I wish it was possible to postpone the MPC meeting because of the prevailing environment.’’
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Ekpo said that raising the rate would not help the current situation because the factors driving inflation were multifaceted and mainly structural.
According to him, the MPR has an impact on the interbank rates and not on lending rates.
The MPC at the end of its two-day meeting in Abuja unanimously voted to increase the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 18 percent.
The CBN Governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele, while reading the communiqué of the meeting on Tuesday, said the committee voted to keep the asymmetric corridor at +100 and -500 basis points around the MPR.
The MPC also retained an asymmetric corridor at +100 and -500 basis points around the MPR.
MPR is the interest rate at which CBN lends to commercial banks; it, therefore, serves as a benchmark against which other lending rates in the economy are pegged.
A raised MPR signals to commercial banks to accordingly hike their interest rates on loans/advances to their customers, and vice versa.
The MPR has been on the rise since April 2022, when it was 11.50 percent.
Emefiele said that the slight increase was to moderate the effect of inflation and other economic issues.
